Appalachian State at Marshall

This should be a hotly contested game between a pair of teams entering at 5-4, each needing just one win for Bowl eligibility. Marshall has struggled offensively all season. Since scoring 31 points in a loss to Bowling Green, the Thundering Herd has averaged just 16.5 PPG and a woeful 12.5 PPG in their last six. The good news is the Herd has allowed just 13.7 PPG in the six games, all six staying UNDER the total. Appalachian St. has now played four of its last five games UNDER the total. I think this total is too high for a pair of teams that are lacking high-scoring games. Games between 5-4 teams are usually played intensely, which typically means the defenses step up. These games have played 65% ATS to the under. Make the play UNDER the total.