This pick was released to clients on August 21, 2012 at 5:37PM ET.
img CFB

Alabama at Texas Tech

January 2, 2006
img11:00 AM Eastern
Premium Pick

Classic strength vs. strength matchup in the Cotton Bowl as Texas Tech and its juggernaut offense face the Tide and their suffocating defense. Can the Tide stop a Tech offense that 6.7 yards per play (wow!)? Alabama is 1-8 ATS versus good offensive teams that average >5.9 yards/play over the last 3 seasons. Bama started the season 9-0 but lost to LSU and Auburn to close out the season, and I wonder a bit about motivation here facing a team that historically hasn't been very good. Simeon Castille, Bama's top corner, is out of this one due to academic problems and the Big 12 has surprisingly looked very good in bowl games thus far. Throw in the fact that Tech is essentially at home here, and the Red Radiers defense should slow down Bama enough here, and you have a Tech victory. Two stars on the Red Raiders minus the points here.

2 units on Texas Tech -3.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get my free CFB picks and predictions.

Join 412,085 Subscribers!