Alabama at Mississippi State

Alabama isn't rebuilding, but they did lose a ton of experience and talent to the NFL. Alabama nipped Florida, 31-29, as a 14-point favorite, and last week lost, 41-38, to unranked Texas A&M as 19-point chalk. Alabama plays its second straight road game and is 6-14 ATS following a defeat. Mississippi State has had two weeks to rest and prepare, and they will be sky-high with the wounded defending champs in town. They've beaten NC State (24-10) and Texas A&M (26-22) as underdogs. QB Will Rogers (14 TDs, 2 INTs) leads a potent passing attack that is fifth in the country with 372.4 yards per game for two-time National Coach of the Year Mike Leach. Also, Leach is 35-20 ATS against teams that average 450+ yards per game. Play Mississippi State.