Alabama at Mississippi State

An SEC showdown between a pair of Top 20 teams, which will mean intense defense. Alabama has the best defense in the nation once again, tops in points allowed (9.8 per game), second in yards rushing (75.8 yards per game). Alabama is 19-9 UNDER the total on natural grass, plus 38-18-1 UNDER in November games when the stakes rise. Rival Mississippi State can play defense, too, seventh in the nation in total yards allowed, #14 in points (18 ppg). Both teams are strong up front and Mississippi State is 29-15 UNDER the total against strong rush defenses that allow 3.2 yards per carry or less. And the UNDER is 14-3-1 in the last 18 meetings, including 8-0 UNDER on this field. Back the UNDER.