Alabama vs. Florida

Florida comes off a stunning 37-34 loss to LSU as a 23-point favorite. What was exposed again is this Gator defense, which has allowed 41 points to Texas A&M, 37 to LSU, and 35 to both Arkansas and Ole Miss. The defense also surrenders 142.4 yards rushing per game and faces a potent Alabama offense and defense. Alabama is peaking at the right time (7-0 SU/ATS run), 55-32 ATS after six or more straight victories. The offense is deadly behind QB Mac Jones (27 TDs, 3 INTs), averaging 49.5 points and 537.8 yards per game, while the defense is #10 in points allowed (16.8 pg). Alabama is 9-2 ATS versus pass defenses that allow 58% or worse completion percentage, plus 18-7 ATS off a road win by 28-plus points. Alabama has won six in a row over the Gators, including a 54-16 rout in the 2016 SEC Championship. Play Alabama.