Air Force at New Mexico

The Air Force Falcons have got to be disturbed by the fact that this team has scored 36 total points against their four FBS opponents or 9 PPG. The good news is, this often has bettors going against them, to exaggerated lines. A team that has scored 36 or fewer points over their last four games combined are 204-179-10 ATS at 53.3%. That is close to 400 games in the data set that betting blind would have made you a winner. If they are going to get the ball moving, this is the game to do it. It is the first time all season their offense has an advantage over a defense. The Lobos are alloing 46 PPG, and the Falcons will move the ball here enough to win or cover. Make the play on Air Force.