This pick was released to clients on September 07, 2023 at 10:56AM ET.
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Air Force at Navy

September 11, 2021
img3:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Navy is at one of its lowest points in Ken Niumatalolo's coaching tenure as it comes off a 3-7 season, including a loss to Army. And more recently, the Midshipmen got crushed 49-7 by Marshall in their opener. Navy got its usual 300-plus rushing yards, but it couldn't stop the Thundering Herd, which had 363 passing yards. Navy has scored a total of just 20 points its last four games, three of which have gone UNDER. Air Force has gone UNDER eight of its last nine games, including its 35-14 win over Lafayette on Saturday when the Falcons racked up 370 yards on the ground. Air Force won last year's meeting, 40-7, and seven of the last nine meetings have stayed UNDER. The Falcons have covered four of the last five meetings. The Flyboys are 14-3 ATS their past 17 games after a win by at least 20 points and 21-8 ATS in non-conference games while Navy is 1-5 ATS its last six games and 3-7 ATS as a home dog. The Falcons are 10-1 UNDER their past 11 as favorites. I have two plays for you on this one. Take Air Force ATS and the UNDER.

1.5 units on Air Force -5.5 (-112) (risk 1.5 to return 2.84)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 41 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Air Force Falcons img
0
7
7
9
23
Navy Midshipmen
0
3
0
0
3
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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