One certainty in this game is the Air Force is going to run the ball on 80% or more of its plays, as they have topped the 50-carry mark in all of their games this season. That typically limits possessions, and grinds the clock. That won't allow a poor offensive Hawaii team to have many opportunities to find the end-zone, and as it is already, the Warriors have been shutout three times this season. The good news is that that the best part of the mediocre Hawaii defense is defending the run as they have allowed 4.3 yards per carry vs. a schedule of opponents that have averaged 4.6. The Air Force triple-option isn't as prolific as it has been in the past, generating 4.6 yards vs. teams allowing 4.0, so the Warriors should be able to halt enough drives to hold the scoring down in this one. The Falcons are 8-2 to the UNDER after producing 40+ in their previous game, have not consistently generated points in their recent past. Take the UNDER.
This pick was released to clients on October 29, 2015 at 9:36AM ET.
CFB
Air Force at Hawaii
October 31, 2015
10:30 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 51 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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