Air Force at Colorado

Running the pigskin chews up yards and the clock and Air Force is great at it with the triple-option under coach Troy Calhoun. They only passed one time in the opener but still crushed Colgate, 48-7, with 423 rushing yards. Air Force returns a fine defense and the Falcons are 9-4 UNDER the total when playing on natural grass, plus 5-1 UNDER in non-conference games. Colorado has a new coaching staff under Mel Tucker, the former defensive coordinator at Georgia and Alabama. New offensive coordinator Jay Johnson brings in a new look, using pro-style sets and prioritizing the run game. The defense allowed 3.9 yards per rush and 5-of-15 on third down in last week's win over Nebraska. Colorado is 10-4 UNDER the total after a victory, as well as 13-3 UNDER against the Mountain West Conference. The Buffaloes crushed in-state rival CSU in their opener and pulled off the stunner vs. ranked Nebraska last week. They are a bit over-valued here as a result as I think this line should be under a field goal. The Falcons are 8-1 ATS the past three seasons in non-conference games as teams have trouble preparing for this offense. Under Calhoun, Air Force is 13-4 ATS after a 28+ point home blowout win and 22-11 ATS after allowing 14 points or fewer and 46-33 after a win of any kind - talk about momentum. Back the Falcons and the UNDER.