Air Force at Boise State

Boise State suffered their worst loss in program history last week vs. New Mexico. The Broncos, who rarely lose at home, dropped a 31-24 decision as a better than 30 point favorite. It was indeed shocking. The Broncos have now dropped two of their last four, and ball control has been a serious issue, as the two losses show that they committed a ridiculous 12 turnovers. Air Force is going to put the ball on the ground, chew up clock, and try to generate favorable down and distance to stay in the game. This is a very solid defensive team that has gotten better as the season has moved forward. The Falcons have allowed 13 points per game in their last four. The Falcons allow just 59 plays per game to their opponents, so there is won't be a lot of opportunities to score. If Boise State squanders a possession or two with turnovers, this game is not going to see a whole lot of scoring. The Broncos don't have the offense they have been in the past, and have played six straight to the UNDER at home. This one follows suit, so take the UNDER.