This pick was released to clients on December 19, 2022 at 11:09AM ET.
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Air Force vs. Baylor

December 22, 2022
img7:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Air Force finished the season on a high note winning its last four games while the opposite was true for Baylor, which lost its last three. Air Force leads the country with 335.3 rushing yards per game and Baylor has lost four of five when allowing at least 150 yards on the ground. What is surprising though is that the Falcons also are #1 in the nation in total yards allowed with 255.4 per game and they are #3 in scoring defense allowing 13.2 per contest. Brad Roberts leads Air Force with 1,621 yards rushing and John Lee Eldridge and Haaziq Daniels combine for 1,396 more. The Falcons also are #1 in time of possession and that will keep Baylor's normally high-scoring offense off the field although Kansas State already figured that out when it beat the Bears 31-3 on Nov. 12. The Falcons have won and covered four of their past five bowl games under coach Troy Calhoun and they are 20-8 ATS their past 28 non-conference games. The Falcons' three losses have been by a combined 15 points and they are healthier than they were then. Play Air Force ATS as a Max Play and on the money line.

2 units on Air Force +4 (-109) (risk 2 to return 3.83)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Air Force +165 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 2.65)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Air Force Falcons img
9
0
14
7
30
Baylor Bears
0
7
0
8
15
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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