Purdue is for real, winning four in a row. Last week was the exclamation point, a 49-20 thumping of #2 Ohio State as a +12 dog. Fifth-year senior quarterback David Blough (13 TDs, 2 picks) leads the sixth-ranked passing attack in the nation, while the defense has been superb allowing 17 points per game the last four contests. The Boilermakers are on a 16-5-2 spread run on the road, plus 12-3-2 ATS away against a team with a winning home record. Purdue LB Markus Bailey earned Big Ten Defensive Player of the Week honors after recording 15 tackles along with an interception against Ohio State. Purdue is also 7-1 UNDER the total on the road. They face a strong Michigan State defense, second in the nation against the run (79.6 yards per game), while the secondary has nine interceptions in seven games. The offense is struggling, though, off a 21-7 loss to Michigan. The Spartans are 6-18 ATS after getting 275 total yards or less in their previous game. QB Brian Lewerke was 5-of-25 for 66 yards against Michigan and is dealing with a shoulder injury. Michigan State is 12-5 UNDER the total after a double-digit loss at home. Purdue is on a 4-0-1 ATS run against the Spartans, and the underdog is 12-3-1 ATS when these rivals clash. Play Purdue and the UNDER.
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who is the public on? 71% of the public bets are on Michigan State Spartans on the -13.5 ATS. And, 58% of the bets are on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game is that Michigan State will win by a score of 28.1 to 13.3 with Michigan State winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 70% of the public bets were on Michigan State Spartans on the -2.5 ATS. And, 57% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Michigan State would win by a score of 28.8 to 23.4 with Michigan State winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 63% of the public bets were on Purdue Boilermakers on the -2.5 ATS. 58% of the public money was on Purdue Boilermakers to win on the moneyline. And, 54% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Purdue would win by a score of 25.3 to 24.5 with Purdue winning on the moneyline, Michigan State winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
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Purdue at Michigan State
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 80% of the public bets were on Michigan State Spartans on the -23 ATS. 98% of the public money was on Michigan State Spartans to win on the moneyline. And, 63% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Michigan State would win by a score of 37.8 to 16.5 with Michigan State winning on the moneyline, Purdue winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 80% of the public bets were on Michigan State Spartans on the -21.5 ATS. 62% of the public money was on Michigan State Spartans to win on the moneyline. And, 70% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Michigan State would win by a score of 36.7 to 16.8 with Michigan State winning on the moneyline, Purdue winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
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Michigan State at Purdue
Purdue is showing some life this season (3-3) after that miserable 1-11 campaign last year. They've won two of three and had 551 yards while the defense forced two turnovers last week. Purdue gashed Illinois for 349 yards rushing and first-time starting quarterback Austin Appleby threw for a touchdown and ran for two more to lead Purdue to a 38-27 upset at Illinois. Appleby was 15 of 20 for 202 yards and ran for another 76 yards on seven carries. RB Akeem Hunt carried the ball 30 times for 177 yards and a touchdown on an offense that is productive, averaging 26.2 points and 171 yards rushing. The undervalued Boilermakers are on a 5-2-1 ATS run. They face a Michigan State squad that has played only one road game, getting smoked late in a loss at Oregon. Michigan State has bigger Big-10 fish to fry than Purdue, with games against Michigan and Ohio State coming up soon and the underdog is 6-1-1 ATS when these teams meet. Grab the points on Purdue.