Duke and North Carolina are tied at 3-2 in the ACC standings. Duke backup QB Grayson Loftis has had to step in but led them to a 24-21 win over Wake Forest last week. He gets help from a ground game that averages 5.2 yards per carry anchored by senior RB Jordan Waters (564 yards, 5.6 ypc) and junior Jaquez Moore (481 yards, 5.6 ypc), along with a defense that is ninth in the country in points given up (16.8 per game). Duke knocked off Clemson, 28-7, as a +12 dog. North Carolina is 1-2 SU/ATS in its last three ACC games surrendering an average of 36 points. That included a loss to Virginia (31-27) as a 24-point favorite and a loss to Georgia Tech (46-42) as 12-point chalk. North Carolina is 54th in the country in points given up (25.4 per game), 69th on third down (39.25%), and 84th in yards allowed (403.3 per game). Play Duke on the moneyline.
Previous Matchups & Picks
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 63% of the public bets were on Duke Blue Devils on the +1.5 ATS. And, 63% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Duke would win by a score of 31.6 to 27.8 with Duke winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 60% of the public bets were on Duke Blue Devils on the +10 ATS. And, 70% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that North Carolina would win by a score of 28.8 to 26.0 with North Carolina winning on the moneyline, Duke winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
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Duke at North Carolina
8:00 PM Eastern
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 57% of the public bets were on North Carolina Tar Heels on the -7 ATS. And, 61% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that North Carolina would win by a score of 37.9 to 30.8 with North Carolina winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 62% of the public bets were on Duke Blue Devils on the +19.5 ATS. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that North Carolina would win by a score of 47.7 to 27.7 with North Carolina winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 66% of the public bets were on North Carolina Tar Heels on the -11.5 ATS. 94% of the public money was on North Carolina Tar Heels to win on the moneyline. And, 65% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that North Carolina would win by a score of 38.6 to 24.2 with North Carolina winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
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