Youngstown State at Wisconsin Green Bay

The Wisconsin Green Bay Phoenix are off three consecutive seasons with 23 wins or more, but at 11-7 they have a long way to go to make it a fourth as this team is rebuilding. The Phoenix have been average shooting the ball, and have defended ok, but the weakness, especially at home, is allowing 38% from deep. Youngstown State may find the edge in that respect as they have defended very well on the road, allowing just 39.9% shooting and a very strong 28.2% defending the three-point line. I think those numbers can keep the Penguins in this game, and as a double-digit dog are showing considerable value. Play the points on Youngstown State.