Xavier vs. Texas

Xavier has won seven of its past eight games, covering the number in six of them, and the Musketeers have won 20 in a row straight up as favorites. Their seven-game win streak was snapped in a two-point loss to Marquette in the Big East Tournament while still covering the 2.5-point spread. Xavier is #25 in the nation with a .375 3-point shooting percentage. Zach Freemantle leads the Musketeers with 17.4 points per game and Ryan Conwell averages 16.2. Xavier has not allowed more than 68 points in five of their past seven games. Texas is on a 3-9 ATS run and it has lost eight of its past 12 games after getting off to a promising start this season. The Longhorns are 1-10 ATS their past 11 games against the Big East Conference and they have lost 11 of 15 outright when playing as underdogs. Texas is 22-14 UNDER in the first half and Xavier is 18-15 UNDER before intermission. The Longhorns hit only 17 of 54 3-point tries (31.5 percent) in their three SEC Tournament games. I have three plays for this game: Take Xavier ATS, plays the first half UNDER, and bet the full game to stay UNDER the number.