Xavier at Creighton

Xavier is pouring in 77 ppg. Their defense is strong but much less-so on the road. This total is dragged down thanks to their recent defensive performances - 53 against Miami Ohio, 61 vs. W Carolina and 55 against Detroit. But that level of play can't go on forever. Tack on Greighton's 54 point performance last game vs. Dayton and you have a total that is now artificallyh low. Games with a total under 130 featuring a road team after allowing 55 points or less facing an opponent that scored 55 or less last game have gone over 66% of the time over the past ten years. Also, games at 120 to 129.5 with a road team off a win by 15 points or more facing an opponent after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game are 72% OVER the past decade. We'll take the OVER here.