Xavier at Butler

Xavier has been winning but they've needed some late-game heroics to do it. They were down by 19 points with 10 minutes to go vs. Purdue. That's going to catch up to them at some point. Butler is looking to revenge a 2 point loss to Xavier last December. The Bulldogs are 18-9 ATS the past two seasons vs. winning teams including 11-3 ATS vs. great teams (those winning by 8+ points per game on average). Under Brad Stevens, this team is 19-9 ATS as an underdog. I think Butler keeps this one close.