Wisconsin Green Bay at Illinois Chicago

Green Bay has a losing road record because of a defense that is not strong, eighth in the Horizon League at defending the three-pointer. They are giving up 77.4 points per game away from home and this is their fourth straight road contest. Green Bay is 16-6 OVER the total after a win of 20+ points. Illinois-Chicago is home from a two-game trip with a winning home mark. The Flames are 15-5-1 ATS when following a straight-up loss, plus 8-3 ATS as a home underdog. Illinois-Chicago is also 9-1 ATS as an underdog of 0.5 to 6.5. The Flames have plenty of offense, #1 in the Horizon League at shooting the three-pointer (39%) and fourth in the conference from the free throw line. The dog is 8-2-1 ATS when these rivals clash and Green Bay is 2-8-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Take Illinois-Chicago and the OVER.