Western Michigan at Dayton

The optics are not favorable for the Dayton Flyers at 3-4. This team is playing below the line and has dropped five-straight ATS. The injury bug has hit this team hard with several players either out or less than 100% if they take the court. They have failed to cover as a large favorite in two games this season posted at -12 or more points. Western Michigan is healthy but the wins have been hard to come by at 2-5 to start the season. They almost pulled a big upset losing to Minnesota by a single point. I think the injury state of this Dayton team will keep Western Michigan from the blowout. With a thin bench, the Broncos are also in a prime spot for a backdoor cover if the game gets away from them. Make the play on Western Michigan.