This pick was released to clients on March 14, 2023 at 5:36PM ET.
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West Virginia vs. Maryland

March 16, 2023
img12:15 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

No. 9 seed West Virginia was last in the Big 12 in points surrendered (71 per game) and 3-point shooting defense (.341%), plus second-to-last in field goal shooting defense allowed (.448%). They head to Birmingham, Alabama, for this one and lost eight of 11 road games this season. West Virginia is 73-48 UNDER the First Half total after two or more straight games going UNDER. No. 8 seed Maryland has no such defensive concerns under first-year coach Kevin Willard, fourth in the Big 10 in points given up (63.2 ppg) and sixth at defending beyond the arc. The Terrapins went 5-2 against Big Ten teams that were ranked in the Top 25 and have won 14 of their last 15 opening-round tournament games. Maryland is also 27-13 UNDER the First Half Total after a defeat, including 15-4 UNDER the First Half Total after a double-digit loss. Look for the superior defensive team to win the game with a low-scoring first half. Play Maryland on the moneyline + the First Half UNDER the total.

1.5 units on Maryland +135 (moneyline) (risk 1.5 to return 3.53)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on 1st ½ Total UNDER 63.5 -115 (risk 1 to return 1.87)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1H
2H
F
West Virginia Mountaineers
30
35
65
Maryland Terrapins img
32
35
67
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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