West Virginia at Clemson

West Virginia under Beilein has been money in the post-season. His teams have gone 12-1 ATS. The only losses this team has incurred down the stretch were to a hot Louisville team in OT, two games against the No. 3 seeded Pitt. One game to the No. 2 seed and NCAA Final Four representative Georgetown, and one game at Providence, who finished 16-3 at home. Clemson has lost a lot of close games this season because they are absolutely the worst team in the country at the free-throw line. They have losses to Florida State, Wake forest, and one-point wins over Virginia Tech and Air Force down the stretch, and Clemson isn’t putting anyone away. They shoot 57% from the line, and with the magnitude of this game, it may be closer to the 41% they shot vs. Air Force. W. Virginia shoots over 76% from the line, and the difference between the two in a game that sees each go to the line 20 times, is worth about five points all unto itself. It is worth even more if Clemson is around 40% like they were vs. Air Force. If this is a close game, Clemson will have to win it from the line, which is unlikely, and W. Virginia will put the game away at the line. It is just too risky playing on a team that shoots around 40% under pressure from the line. West Virginia to win the NIT.