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Western Kentucky at South Alabama

January 5, 2008
img8:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Hilltoppers have long dominated the Sun Belt Conference but S. Alabama may have something to say about all that this season. The Jags have it all. A go-to scorer in Demetric Bennett (20.0 ppg), a competent experienced PG in Daon Bennett (5.2 apg), a glass eater in DeAndre Coleman (8.3 rpg in just 25 min. per game), and 3pt shooters in Domonic Tilford (42.5%) and B.J. Ford (41.25). The defense allows just 40% shooting, and 32% from three. There is certainly no intimidation factor here as S. Alabama has ruled W. Kentucky at home, winning six of seven this decade. The lone loss was by a single point, so this truly has been a house of horrors for the Hilltoppers. S. Alabama established they can play with anyone, even on the road, as they lost to 14-0 Vandy by 3 in OT, and 13-0 Mississippi by 3. W. Kentucky has done well but numbers are down. All five starters return, with most going backward, not forward, and they don't have a single player averaging even 5rpg. They also bring in a negative assist to turnover ratio, and from an experienced team, they aren't sharing and moving the bal well, and the commitment on the defensive end is lacking, allowing 45%, and 37% from three. S. Alabama at this point in the season, is the better team, and has a statement to make here. We like them to top the Toppers at home.

3 units on South Alabama -4 (-110) (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
PUSH
1H
2H
T
W. Kentucky Hilltoppers
0
0
61
South Alabama Jaguars
0
0
65
odds odds
 
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