Western Illinois at Denver University

The Denver Pioneers have been a force at home over the years, but that has mostly been when they have had their better teams. This season they are 13-12, as this year's squad is not among the best of the recent past. The Pioneers have lost four times at home this season, and their reputation for being strong at home has taken a hit, as they are below .500 ATS at home on the season. Western Illinois has just one road win this season, but they are a team that likes to play to a slow tempo. As a result, they will be less likely to become fatigued by the altitude advantage Denver enjoys at home. Western Illinois plays slow, and plays strong on the defensive end. That makes them a live dog when taking a lot of points in games usually played in the 50s. The Leathernecks are 3-0 ATS in their last three when taking +8.5 or more points. Take the points and Western Illinois.