Villanova at Pennsylvania

This one shapes up to be a clash of styles as Villanova likes to run, but Penn won't have any of that at home. Penn has allowed 50, 65 and 70 points in three of its four contests and all were away from home. They prefer a slower pace and will do that in their home opener here. Penn is 15-6 UNDER the total at home, plus 9-3 UNDER in non-conference games. The defending champion Villanova Wildcats can play defense, too, setting a season low for points scored (63) the last game against Charleston, although they also set a season low for points allowed (47). Villanova is 7-3 UNDER the total when facing the Ivy League, as well as 18-7-1 UNDER as a favorite of 13.0 or greater. Villanova topped Penn last season allowing 57 points and 36.7% shooting, but they were only 1-of-11 from long range. The teams also combined to miss 21 free throws. The last four meetings have gone UNDER and this total is too high. Play the UNDER.