Virginia Commonwealth at Massachusetts

VCU likes to run, third in the Atlantic 10 in scoring. But the defense has been soft, allowing 81, 77, 84, 74 and 80 points the last five games. On the road, the Rams are averaging 74.8 scoring, but surrendering 83.0 points per game. VCU is on a 7-1 run OVER the total on the road, as well as 16-5 OVER away against a team with a winning home record. They face a Massachusetts team that is 10th in the Atlantic 10 in points allowed, #11 at defending the three. The Massachusetts Minutemen are solid offensively, shooting 44.7% from the field, 39.1% from long range, and 74.6% from the charity stripe. At home the Minutemen are averaging 74.9 scoring. UMass has gone seven straight games OVER the total allowing 82+ points in all of them, so look for a game with far more offense than defense. This game finishes OVER.