Vanderbilt vs. Wisconsin

The oddsmakers appear to think that the tourney officials got this one wrong. They are seeded No. 4 and playing as an underdog. I'm sure they will take note of that and fuel their level of play here. If defense wins games, then the No. 7 ranked defense of the Badgers should be in good shape here allowing 38.3% from the field for the season. If you look at the top 10 teams in terms of opponents shooting percentage allowed, all eight that are in the tourney advanced to this round. While the Badgers defend well, they don't score as efficiently, so they play a half-court style that has been their hallmark for years. They have followed an ATS win with a 55-26-1 mark to the UNDER in their last 82 - pretty strong indicator. They have also followed a blowout win of 20 points or more by going 6-1 ATS in their last seven. While Vanderbilt has had some big wins, none bigger than Kentucky to win the SEC Conference Tournament, they have had some bad losses to Indiana State and Cleveland State too. This is expected to be a game played with the winner getting around 60 points, and when Vandy scores less than 65 they are just 3-6 ATS this season, so they have struggled in this type of game. Play on Wisconsin and the UNDER.