This pick was released to clients on October 15, 2012 at 4:27PM ET.
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Vanderbilt at Georgetown

March 23, 2007
img7:25 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

There is something very interesting but also very revealing about this Vanderbilt team. This team plays the opposite way of last year's Notre Dame team. Notre Dame was snake bitten last year losing 8-10 games by just a few points each, and ended up mediocre. But by turning half of those around they would have been playing in late March like Vanderbilt is this year. Vanderbilt is 22-11, and has won nine games either in OT or by five points or less. If you turn five of those around they are 17-16, very similar, but on the other side of the fate of ND last year. They have also lost more games by double digits this season, than almost all the teams still standing! Vanderbilt has lost seven games by double digits, and two others by eight points each. What this tells us is that this team simply has zero margin for error. Things have to go well for them, or they become non-competitive. The biggest factor is shooting the three-point shot and Georgetown is the best defender they will have seen all season around the perimeter. The top defensive team Vanderbilt has seen this year was No. 26 Miss State and they lost by 13. They have three double-digit losses to teams that are inside the top 50, and Georgetown sits above them all. Georgetown beat Vanderbilt, at Vandy very early in the season by 16 points. That does not mean much here, as both of these teams are improved. Vandy is the 184th team in the nation in FG% defense, so Georgetown, like last time will be able to score. We see this much the same as their first go round. Georgetown by double digits.

3 units on Georgetown -7.5 (-110) (risk 3 to return 5.73)
Result:
LOSS
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