Utah State vs. Texas Tech

Utah State is a strong, balanced team finishing second in the Mountain West Conference. They have five players averaging over 8.8 points per game and a dominant frontcourt behind 7-foot center Neemis Queta (15.1 ppg, 10 rpg) and 6-7 Justin bean (11.3 ppg, 7.7 rpg). The team defense is top-notch, second in the Mountain West in points allowed (62.4 ppg) and shooting allowed (.391). The offense moves the ball around well with extra passes and they're second in the nation in rebounding margin with that big frontcourt, on a 35-23 run UNDER the total, 14-4 UNDER against teams that average 40+ rebounds per game. Texas Tech went 6-10 against teams in the NCAA Tournament field. They're favored but not a strong offensive team, seventh in the Big 12 in scoring, 55-35 UNDER the total on neutral courts. Texas Tech is also 23-41 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite, including 15-29 ATS off an upset loss conference loss as chalk. Play the UNDER.