Utah State at Pacific

How can Pacific be getting points here? These guys own the longest winning streak in the country (22 straight), are 26-2 overall and play their best ball in-conference. They've also beat Utah State twice this year so we know they matchup well. Pacific slows things down and Utah State is 2-9 ATS on the road versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game over the last 3 seasons. They are also 1-6 ATS on the road when facing top-level teams (Win Pct. > 80%) since 1997. Both of these teams can play defense. When you have two teams like this, the dog is always worth a close look. Underdogs off two straight great defensive performances (allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less) facing a team with a good defense are 63-22 (74%) since 1997. Also, Pacific is 7-0 ATS versus good defensive teams (allowing <64 points/game) this season and 8-2 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons. Bottom line, great matchup for Pacific and 3 points to boot. Three stars on Pacific.