This pick was released to clients on September 27, 2012 at 6:10PM ET.
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Utah State at Long Beach State

January 29, 2005
img10:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Utah State has picked up where it left off last year (25-4 overall and 17-1 in conference play). HC Stew Morrill has done a tremendous job at keeping this team at peak performance despite the loss of 3 starters from last year's squad. Tonight they get the worst team in the Big West and should run roughshod all over them from start to finish. Utah State is holding opponents under 60 points per game. In conference games, Long Beach State is scoring just 58. Road favorites with a winning percentage of 60%-80%) laying 10 or more points, having won 3 of their last 4 games, facing a terrible team (<20% SU) are an incredible 27-7 (79%) ATS since 1997. Also, home underdogs of 10 or more points coming off a game in which they allowed 60 points or less when facining an opponent off a win by 10 points or more are just 23-53 (30%) ATS since 1997. Four stars on Utah State minus twelve.

4 units on Utah State -12 (-110) (risk 4 to return 7.64)
Result:
WIN
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