UT Chattanooga at Marshall

Tennessee-Chattanooga is off a 19-win season and they are playing well despite a tough schedule. They covered as dogs of +14 and +7 in close losses to Wyoming and Akron, both on the road. They've won four of the last six contests, off a 66-63 win over Tennessee-Martin. Tennessee-Chattanooga is younger than last season, focusing on defense, on a 10-2 run UNDER the total, including 7-1 UNDER on the road. They head to Marshall, a team that is 3-3 straight-up the last six games, including an 86-83 loss to Morehead as a favorite. The Thundering Herd are 4-12 ATS following a victory of more than 20 points. Tennessee-Chattanooga is 29-19 SU all-time against the Thundering Herd, winning five in a row in the series, including last year's comeback 96-85 win. With Marshall 7-2-1 UNDER the total after a spread cover, back the visitors in a defensive battle. I like Tennessee-Chattanooga and the UNDER.