UNC Greensboro vs. Florida State

UNC Greensboro is off a strong, 21-8 season and earned the right to take on #4 seed Florida State. The Seminoles had to dance around covid for a good part of the season and managed just 22 games. This team came out hot, but of their six losses, they lost three of them over their last five games. Florida State has become very sloppy on offense, and it has cost them. The Seminoles have turned the ball over a ridiculous 91 times in their last five games, or 18.2 per contest. Those are tough numbers for a double-digit favorite to overcome and still cover vs a very competent opponent. UNC Greensboro takes care of the ball better than any team in the tournament as they have averaged eight turnovers a game in their last five. When you add 11 points for the point spread, and there is a 10 turnover difference in UNC Greensboro's favor, the dog is clearly advantaged in this one. Make the play on UNC Greensboro. Looking at the total in this game the Spartans have done a very good job defensively as they allow just 67ppg. Part of that is they play at a slow tempo and their opponents on the season are averaging just 55 shots per contest. When you combine that with the absurd turnovers the Seminoles are making, the number of possessions will be even further reduced by their sloppy play. Florida St. is one of the better defending teams in the country allowing 39.8% shooting against them. UNC Greensboro is now 19-8 on a neutral court as a dog or pick-em in their last 27. Make the play on the under.