UL Monroe vs. Western Kentucky

The UL Monroe Warhawks have a 4-22 record on the season, and over their last 87 games this team is just a woeful 14-73. Their record certainly makes it look like an easy play-against, as 72% of the public has pulled the trigger against them. The pointspread is a great equalizer however, and in some cases creates an imbalance. Despite the 14-73 straight-up record, the Warhawks have been the product of overlays against them and have covered over 55% of the time as a dog of +10 or more, and are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 at a neutral site. The Hilltoppers are just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 in the conference. Another overlay at work, so play on UL Monroe.