UL Monroe at Western Kentucky

Western Kentucky has a 17-9 record on the season, but that has not told the entire story. They have been in tight games against good teams and bad, and to their credit they have won the vast majority of them. The 17 wins include 13 of them won by 9 points or fewer, and that has shown up in the money category. The Hilltoppers have lost six straight ATS, despite winning four of those games, the points have been the difference very often for this team. Louisiana Monroe has enough, just as most teams have to likely lose, but stay close enough to grab the cash. Western Kentucky continues to be over-valued, and that has shown up in a big way at home where they have taken the donut at 0-8-1 ATS in their last nine played here. Go with UL Monroe in this one.