This pick was released to clients on March 20, 2014 at 12:57PM ET.
img CBB

UL Lafayette vs. Creighton

March 21, 2014
img3:10 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

No. 3 seed Creighton finished 14-4 in the Big East, highlighted by wins of 28 and 21 points over league regular season champ Villanova. This offense is electric (23rd in the nation in scoring with 79.5 points per game) behind senior Doug McDermott (26.9 points per game, 7 rebounds per game), who shoots 45.4% from long range. And it's not just him defenses have to worry about. 6-foot-7 sharpshooter Ethan Wragge (10.5 points per game) has made only two two-point baskets all season while shooting 47.3 percent from three-point range in 220 long-range attempts. Good luck trying to defend this team beyond the arc! And that's the key matchup in this game, as Louisiana-Lafayette finished ninth in the 10-team Sun Belt league in field goal shooting defense (44.3% allowed) and sixth at defending the three. The Bluejays are 5-0 ATS in their last five non-conference games, 9-4 ATS at neutral site games. Louisiana-Lafayette only stepped up twice this season against Top 25 competition and got flogged by Baylor (87-68) and Louisville (113-74). They also lost by 13 to Arkansas of the SEC, allowing 51% shooting. The Ragin' Cajuns are 5-13-1 ATS against a team with a winning record. Lay the points on Creighton.

1 unit on Creighton -13.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1H
2H
F
UL Lafayette Ragin Cajuns
33
33
66
Creighton Blue Jays img
39
37
76
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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