UAB at Middle Tenn State

UAB is just .500 on the season and coming off a 28 point loss. For those reasons, this line is inflated. That big loss came on the road against the Tar Heels so let's not put too much weight on that. The Blazers still managed to put up 84 points in that game and this offense is averaging 77.5 points per game on the season, up 17 points per game over last season. MTSU is coming off a hard-fought overtime loss and getting up after that game for this one is going to be hard. Sure, the Blue Raiders should win this game, but will they be motivated enough to deliver the blowout? The Blazers are 10-2 ATS the past three seasons when coming off a road loss. And, they are 26-13 in their last 39 games following a double-digit loss and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a game in which they allowed 90+ points. I look for UAB to keep this one under the big number.