This pick was released to clients on September 27, 2012 at 5:41PM ET.
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Tulsa at New Mexico State

January 10, 2005
img9:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

I pointed this out last year and it's still true: Tulsa is still living off their reputation from two seasons ago. This continues to be a very average basketball team this season. When they underperform, they underperform. Tulsa is 2-16 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons, losing those games by an average of 9 points. Expect New Mexico State to beat up Tulsa from long range tonight. Tulsa's allowing opponents to drain nearly 40% from beyond the arc while NMSU is hitting a very nice 42% from three-point range at home this season. When Tulsa allows 39%-45% from long range, they are just 1-14 ATS over the past three seasons. This is a game featuring two bad basketball teams but I like the one that slept in there own bed last night. Two stars on NMSU.

2 units on New Mexico State +2 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
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