Middle Tennessee has had an impressive run over the last two seasons. They won 27 games a year ago, and will be pressing that number this season as they are 21-4 coming into this one. The Blue Raiders are 10-0 at home this season, and that just fuels the price in the line which has been inflated here against Troy. They would have covered this number just one time in their last five games. Troy may be just 10-14 on the season, but they have won three of their last five, and the two losses were near misses by a total of 7 points. The Trojans are definitely improving as noted by their 8-0 ATS mark in their last eight vs. winning teams, and have enough to stay in touch here. Go with Troy.
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