This pick was released to clients on March 21, 2025 at 4:12AM ET.
img CBB

Troy vs. Kentucky

March 21, 2025
img7:20 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Kentucky is another team that made the NCAA Tournament more on reputation than its on-the-court performance. The Wildcats lost four of their past nine games and got blown out 99-70 by Alabama in the SEC tournament after barely getting by Oklahoma 85-84. Troy has the defensive ability to slow down Kentucky's offense as the Trojans are #27 in the country, allowing just 40.4 percent shooting and #95, allowing 32.2 percent from 3-point range. Troy is #25 in scoring defense, yielding 65.4 points per game. The Trojans are riding a six-game win streak (6-0 ATS) after beating Arkansas State to win the Sun Belt championship, and they allowed only 59.0 points in their previous three games. Troy is 13-5 UNDER away from home this season and it has gone UNDER its past five games against SEC opponents. The Trojans have covered four of five as underdogs. Kentucky is 2-5 ATS in its past seven games. Take Troy and the UNDER.

1 unit on Troy +11.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 151.5 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
WIN
Final
1H
2H
F
Troy Trojans
35
30
57
Kentucky Wildcats img
35
41
76
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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