Toledo at UTEP

Toledo was pounded by 18 points last game by Drake in a game that was a pick 'em. UTEP also underperformed losing a 3-point heartbreaker in a game they were supposed to win by 15 points. How will the two teams react? We think UTEP will roll over Toledo. This is a home game for UTEP and they are putting up 84 ppg here. Toledo gets just 65 per game on the road. Both have similar defenses. Toledo has never done good against offensive powerhouses. They are 14-29 ATS in their last 43 vs. teams that average 77+ per game. UTEP is a perfect 11-0 ATS following a loss the past two seasons. Back them laying the small number at home here.