I'm not going to even try to make a statistical case here for The Citadel vs. Davidson. The schools are miles apart in terms of their level of play. This is a conference game and we often see these mismatches when top plays the bottom and we certainly have one here. This is what will surprise you in terms of the value on the dogs in these conference mismatches. Conference favorites of -20 or more points are a disaster waiting to happen as they are just 82-133 ATS in the last 215 occurrences, covering just 38.1% of the time. Better yet, they are putting the dog in a highly favorable and profitable situation of 61.9% cover rate. Hold your nose and play on The Citadel.
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