Texas State vs. Georgia State

Georgia State has a record of 16-13 on the season, while Texas State comes in at just 14-15. Fifth seeds in this tournament have done extremely well at 17-3 ATS, but that is only in the role of a dog of +2 or more. They have been historic losers otherwise, and that works against Georgia State in this one. The Panthers were off to a good start vs. a very soft out-of-conference schedule and melted in conference play finishing just 4-9 in their last 13 games, managing to cover just two of those. Texas State got things going late in the season winning four of their last six games, and certainly have been the better team. The Bobcats should not be the dog, so the points should serve as a cushion in this contest. Play on Texas State.