This pick was released to clients on March 14, 2023 at 2:33PM ET.
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Texas A&M-Corpus Christi vs. SE Missouri State

March 14, 2023
img6:40 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

It's a First Four game from Dayton, Ohio. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi was a dominant home team out of the Southland Conference but a .500 (7-7) road team. They love to run but the defense is not elite allowing 45% shooting from the field and 73 points per game. This will be a physical game with so much at stake and Texas A&M-Corpus Christi was eighth in the 10-team Southland in free-throw shooting. SE Missouri State just rolled through the Ohio Valley Conference Tournament (4-0 SU/ATS) winning by a +10.2 margin while outscoring opponents by an 82-72 average. That included two wins as underdogs to No. 1 seed Morehead State (65-58) and No. 2 seed Tennessee Tech (89-82). During the regular season, they were third in the conference in scoring (77.7 ppg) and No. 1 in turnover margin (+1.54). Southeast Missouri State is 6-0 ATS at neutral court sites and 27-14 ATS after playing a conference game. And neutral court college teams like SE Missouri State that average 74-78 points after playing a game where both teams scored 80+ points are 35-10 ATS when facing a team that allows 67-74 points per contest. Play SE Missouri State.

1 unit on SE Missouri State +4 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
PUSH
FINAL
1H
2H
F
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders img
33
42
75
SE Missouri St. Redhawks
27
44
71
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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