This pick was released to clients on October 16, 2012 at 1:32PM ET.
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Tennessee State at Morehead State

February 23, 2006
img9:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Another battle of champions here pittting 11-14 Tennessee State against 4-21 Morehead State. Am I really suggesting backing a 4-21 team here? Yeah. Versus common opponents this year Tennessee State is 8-9 SU while Morehead State is just 3-14. But, that's not the important thing here. If we look against the spread (what we care about), Tennessee State is just 7-10 ATS while Morehead is 11-6 ATS! And tonight we get a healthy +6.5 points on the home team. And the "home" here is very important. Consider that Morehead has only lost one game in the last eight tries here - and that's straight up! Tennessee State is 3-10 SU in road games this year. Morehead is 5-3 ATS at home where they score a lot more than they do on the road. Two stars on Morehead State plus the points.

2 units on Morehead State +6.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
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