Tennessee State at Illinois State

Tennessee State comes into this game at 1-10 on the season. On the road they are 0-8 thanks mostly to an awful offense that has averaged just 62.2 points per game away from home. Illinois State's offense is average and so is their defense. So this total is set too high given the Tigers' horrible road offense. The Redbirds are 39-17 UNDER in their last 56 home games and they have gone UNDER at an incredible 23-5 rate in their last 28 home games vs. teams with losing road records. Go with the UNDER here.