TCU at San Diego State

San Diego State looks like a power conference team with their size, speed and athleticism. They have lost just one game all season and if they can run the table, they could be in line for a No. 1 seed come March. They have not worn the big chalk label well however, as they have a losing ATS mark posting doubles. The Horned Frogs have dropped nine of their last 10, so I don't see effort being maximized in this one by the Aztecs, who already beat the Frogs by 13 on the road. The Aztecs are just 3-8 ATS at home vs. teams with a losing road record and have shown the "lay down" factor. TCU covers.