St. John's at Creighton

Creighton is a good team. This is a team that has won 25+ games in five of the last nine seasons, and may well be on their way to make that six at 11-3 to start this season. But, St. John's is also off to a good start at 10-4 and they are getting a bucketload of points in this one. Too many points. The Red Storm have won at home, and on the road and they come into this game with the better defense. This line is set up nicely by the fact that Creighton is coming off a nice big win over Providence, winning by 19 points as nine-point chalk. And, St. John's is coming in off a loss to Seton Hall. But, that was a close game on the road, with the Red Storm losing by just five points as 12-point dogs. In their last 11 games following a loss, St. John's is 8-3 ATS. On the flip side, the Blue Jays are just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a win. Go contrarian here and expect St. John's to keep it within this number.