Southern Illinois at Drake

These teams played twice in the regular season, with both games going over the total. The MVC has had a long history of tight, low-scoring games in their championship rounds, despite what might have happened in the regular season. Southern Illinois has led the way with a 10-3 mark to the UNDER at neutral site games in their last 13, and Drake has been 5-2 in their last seven as a neutral site underdog. I'll go with the UNDER in this one. Southern Illinois is not the team they have been in the past. And although they are always tough at home, they are now 1-7 ATS in their last eight at a neutral site. Drake stands in with a 7-2 ATS mark as a dog of 6.5 or less. I'll go with Drake here, along with the UNDER.