South Florida at Villanova

The Bulls have been dreadful on the road since becoming a member of the Big East. They have just a 2-22 SU mark, but have treaded water ATS standing at 12-12. There are significant signs that this is changing, and part of that 12-12 ATS mark is due to the fact the Bulls have now been money on the Big East road where they are 4-1 ATS in their last five. They went through the doldrums of losing nine of 10 on the Big East road by more than 10 points, but have since turned it completely around. The Bulls have since gone six straight on the Big East road not losing by more than 10. Their last four Big East games have been decided by four points or less. This is a line based on what the Bulls didn't do in the past, not what they are doing now. Nova has lost three Big East games at home and in their five wins, four of them have come by 2, 2, 7, and 1 point. The Bulls hang tough here, so we will grab the points.