South Alabama at North Texas

The Jags have earned their stripes this season by going into the rugged SEC and pulling out road wins over both Arkansas and Florida. This team can play, and obviously has what it takes to win on the road. They provide serious matchup problems with at times, four-guard sets, and teams struggle to matchup. The Mean Green have some misleading credentials. They have a 7-2 home mark, but five of those were unlined games - basically cupcakes. The lined games they have played at home saw them as a 10+ favorite in all but one, and they were beaten soundly by 13. We’ve got a live dog here vs. a fraudulent home team, so I'll go with South Alabama.